L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Pittsburgh Penguins v Vegas Golden Knights
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Prévision 42.51%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.103%
Avantage -0.044%
Kelly -0.076%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.25%42.46%42.50%43.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.252.252.3548.31%44.46%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.49%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.70%57.54%57.50%58.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.661.671.7065.36%60.18%59.88%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.103%E -0.044%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.103%E -0.044%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetUS | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.528%E -0.226%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.953%E -0.409%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.953%E -0.409%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.23%E -0.969%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.23%E -0.969%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.08%E -1.35%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.27%E -1.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Caesars | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 17:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.84%E -1.68%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:18 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 16:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 17:47 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.35%E -1.94%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.87%E -4.24%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.57%E -2.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.63%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.42%E -2.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.99%E -2.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.48%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.14%E -3.12%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.01%E -5.80%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.04%E -7.87%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 16:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 17:29 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 17:18 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.52% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.35% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 18:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 44.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |