Pittsburgh Penguins v Montréal Canadiens

2026-10-03 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

50%

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd

EV -4.50%

Edge -2.36%

Kelly -4.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.911.911.911.9152%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd

EV -4.50%

Edge -2.36%

Kelly -4.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.911.911.911.9152%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-16 17:45
DraftKings	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-16 17:45
PointsBet (AU)	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-16 17:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.