Idioma:Español
Pittsburgh Penguins v Montréal Canadiens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Predicción 49.69%2.01momio equitativo
EV -0.611%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.611%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.05%49.60%49.68%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.932.0054.64%51.90%51.81%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)
Predicción 50.31%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.40%50.32%51.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.881.881.9456.50%53.11%53.19%51.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pittsburgh Penguins (Local): 49.69%; Montréal Canadiens (Visitante): 50.31%. Para Pittsburgh Penguins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.01. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.00, con un valor esperado de -0.611%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.611%E -0.306%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.611%E -0.306%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.41%E -1.24%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 22:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.43% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.72% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:57 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50% | 12.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19% | 12.0% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.77% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.61% | 17.7% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |