语言:简体中文
Pittsburgh Penguins v Montréal Canadiens
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)
预测 49.69%2.01公平赔率
EV -0.611%
优势 -0.306%
Kelly -0.611%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
48.05%49.60%49.68%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.931.932.0054.64%51.90%51.81%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Montréal Canadiens (客队)
预测 50.31%1.99公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.94
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.40%50.32%51.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.881.881.9456.50%53.11%53.19%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)：49.69%；Montréal Canadiens (客队)：50.31%。 对于“Pittsburgh Penguins (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.00，期望值为-0.611%，未产生正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.611%E -0.306%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.611%E -0.306%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.41%E -1.24%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.92%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.94%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.33%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.50%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.89%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 22:48 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.43% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.72% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:57 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50% | 12.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19% | 12.0% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.77% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.61% | 17.7% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |