Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Philadelphia Flyers v Montréal Canadiens
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Philadelphia Flyers (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 28.30%3.53kurs godziwy
EV +4.72%
Przewaga +1.28%
Kelly +1.75%
Wzrost +0.082%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.00%28.56%28.13%31.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.923.333.353.7034.25%30.08%29.85%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Montréal Canadiens (Goście)
Prognoza 71.70%1.39kurs godziwy
EV -1.06%
Przewaga -0.766%
Kelly -2.78%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.81%71.44%71.88%74.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.261.341.341.3879.37%74.70%74.63%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
21 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.89%E +0.524%K +0.726%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Caesars | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:54 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.21%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| GTbets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:03 |
| Fliff | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| ReBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -7.17%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betsson | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -1.77%E -1.29%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -11.13%E -3.54%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:43 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.14%EV -17.36%E -5.94%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.86%EV -9.66%E -7.67%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54% | -0.2% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Novig | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (21)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.22% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.09% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |