مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Philadelphia Flyers v Montréal Canadiens
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Philadelphia Flyers (المضيف)
التنبؤ 28.30%3.53السعر العادل
EV +4.72%
الأفضلية +1.28%
Kelly +1.75%
النمو +0.082%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.00%28.56%28.13%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.923.333.353.7034.25%30.08%29.85%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Montréal Canadiens (الضيف)
التنبؤ 71.70%1.39السعر العادل
EV -1.06%
الأفضلية -0.766%
Kelly -2.78%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.81%71.44%71.88%74.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.341.341.3879.37%74.70%74.63%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعرض 21 شركة مراهنات عددًا مختلفًا من الخيارات لهذا السوق (سوق بعدد نتائج قدره 3 مقابل سوق بعدد نتائج قدره 2 المستخدم في التحليل). ينبغي تفسير نتائج التحليل بحذر بسبب هذا التفاوت.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.89%E +0.524%K +0.726%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Caesars | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:54 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.21%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| GTbets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:03 |
| Fliff | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| ReBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -7.17%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betsson | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -1.77%E -1.29%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -11.13%E -3.54%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:43 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.14%EV -17.36%E -5.94%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.86%EV -9.66%E -7.67%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (8)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54% | -0.2% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Novig | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
شركات مراهنات أخرى — غير مشمولة في التحليل (21)
تعرض هذه الشركات عددًا مختلفًا من الخيارات لهذا السوق، ولذلك استُبعدت من التحليل. وتُعرض أسعارها للرجوع إليها فقط؛ فقد تختلف قواعد تسوية رهاناتها وتنطوي على قدر إضافي من عدم اليقين.
| شركة المراهنات | الخيار 1 | الخيار 2 | الخيار 3 | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.22% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.09% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |