La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Montréal Canadiens

Inizio: 2026-04-14 23:10 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Flyers 4–2 Montréal Canadiens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 28.30%3.53quota equa
EV +4.72%
Vantaggio +1.28%
Kelly +1.75%
Crescita +0.082%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.00%28.56%28.13%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.923.333.353.7034.25%30.08%29.85%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.70%1.39quota equa
EV -1.06%
Vantaggio -0.766%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%71.44%71.88%74.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.341.341.3879.37%74.70%74.63%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 23:05
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.89%E +0.524%K +0.726%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:05
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 23:04
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 23:04
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 22:54
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:04
Pinnacle3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 23:00
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:04
BetOnline.ag3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 23:05
LowVig.ag3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 23:04
SportsBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.21%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 23:00
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 23:05
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 21:30
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 23:04
GTbets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:55
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 23:03
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 23:04
ReBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -7.17%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 22:15
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 21:30
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 21:30
NordicBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Betsson3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -1.77%E -1.29%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 21:50
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:45
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 22:55
MyBookie.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -11.13%E -3.54%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:43
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:40
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:40
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 21:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 23:04
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 23:05
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.14%EV -17.36%E -5.94%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.86%EV -9.66%E -7.67%K -37.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-14 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54%-0.2%2026-04-14 22:59
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%3.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%3.4%2026-04-14 23:05
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%4.6%2026-04-14 23:05
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%5.5%2026-04-14 23:05
Novig3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%6.1%2026-04-14 23:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%3.2%2026-04-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%3.2%2026-04-14 21:40
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%3.2%2026-04-14 21:40
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%3.2%2026-04-14 21:40
1xBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90%4.7%2026-04-14 22:55
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%4.7%2026-04-14 22:59
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%4.9%2026-04-14 21:59
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%5.0%2026-04-14 21:40
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%5.0%2026-04-14 21:40
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%5.0%2026-04-14 21:40
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%5.0%2026-04-14 21:40
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%6.5%2026-04-14 21:40
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-04-14 23:05
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%7.9%2026-04-14 23:01
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%7.9%2026-04-14 22:45
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%8.4%2026-04-14 21:40
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%8.7%2026-04-14 23:04
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%8.8%2026-04-14 21:45
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%9.0%2026-04-14 23:05
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%12.8%2026-04-14 21:40