La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Philadelphia Flyers v Montréal Canadiens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Predicción 28.30%3.53momio equitativo
EV +4.72%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.75%
Crecimiento +0.082%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%28.56%28.13%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.923.333.353.7034.25%30.08%29.85%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)
Predicción 71.70%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%71.44%71.88%74.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.341.341.3879.37%74.70%74.63%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +4.72%E +1.28%K +1.75%G +0.082% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.89%E +0.524%K +0.726%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Caesars | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 22:54 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.942%E -0.269%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.36%E -0.683%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.64%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.21%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Everygame | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| GTbets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Bovada | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:03 |
| Fliff | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| ReBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -7.17%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Neds | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betsson | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -8.58%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -1.77%E -1.29%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -11.13%E -3.54%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 21:43 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.06%E -0.766%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.09%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.49%E -1.83%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.14%EV -17.36%E -5.94%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.86%EV -9.66%E -7.67%K -37.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54% | -0.2% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Novig | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.22% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.79% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.75% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.09% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |