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Philadelphia Flyers v Detroit Red Wings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV -0.544%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.544%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.74%50.00%50.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.14%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Red Wings (Visit)
Prediction 50.27%1.99fair odd
EV -0.965%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.10%50.26%50.00%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.891.901.9757.80%52.88%52.77%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 49.73%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 50.27%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.544%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.544%E -0.272%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.00%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -0.965%E -0.490%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -0.965%E -0.490%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.00%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.98%E -1.54%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -13.03%E -7.53%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.71% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |