A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Flyers v Detroit Red Wings

Início: 2026-04-02 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Previsão 49.73%2.01odd justa
EV -0.544%
Vantagem -0.272%
Kelly -0.544%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%49.74%50.00%50.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.14%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Detroit Red Wings (Visitante)

Previsão 50.27%1.99odd justa
EV -0.965%
Vantagem -0.490%
Kelly -0.994%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.10%50.26%50.00%51.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.891.901.9757.80%52.88%52.77%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.544%E -0.272%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-02 23:05
ReBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 22:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.00%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:05
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:05
NordicBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 23:03
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 22:56
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:04
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:04
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:04
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -0.965%E -0.490%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -0.965%E -0.490%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.00%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 23:04
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.98%E -1.54%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -13.03%E -7.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-02 23:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%0.8%2026-04-02 22:59
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%1.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-04-02 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-02 23:05
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-02 23:05
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.71%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%4.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%4.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-02 23:04
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-04-02 22:59
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%4.8%2026-04-02 22:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%6.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-04-02 23:05
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%8.2%2026-04-02 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%9.2%2026-04-02 23:01
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-04-02 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%10.2%2026-04-02 23:05
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%12.3%2026-04-02 23:05