La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Philadelphia Flyers v Detroit Red Wings
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Predicción 49.73%2.01momio equitativo
EV -0.544%
Ventaja -0.272%
Kelly -0.544%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%49.74%50.00%50.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.14%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Detroit Red Wings (Visitante)
Predicción 50.27%1.99momio equitativo
EV -0.965%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.994%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.10%50.26%50.00%51.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.891.901.9757.80%52.88%52.77%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.544%E -0.272%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.00%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:56 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.08%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -0.965%E -0.490%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -0.965%E -0.490%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.52%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.00%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.98%E -1.54%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -13.03%E -7.53%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.71% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.23% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |