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Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV -0.010%
Edge -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.59%35.97%35.97%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.662.7841.67%37.92%37.59%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 64.03%1.56fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%64.03%64.03%65.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.501.501.5371.94%66.89%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 35.97%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 64.03%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.7803. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.7800, with an expected value of -0.010%; they did not produce positive expected value.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 22:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.09%E -0.396%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.23%E -3.54%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.81%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 22:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.17%E -0.797%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.17%E -0.797%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.23%E -3.54%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.97%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.76%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.76%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.48%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.48%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -11.00%E -7.91%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Novig◎ | 2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 22:15 |