La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes

Inizio: 2026-05-09 22:20 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Flyers 2–3 Carolina Hurricanes

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 35.97%2.78quota equa
EV -0.010%
Vantaggio -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.59%35.97%35.97%37.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.642.662.7841.67%37.92%37.59%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carolina Hurricanes (Trasferta)

Previsione 64.03%1.56quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.19%64.03%64.03%65.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.501.501.5371.94%66.89%66.67%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

18 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 22:13
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.09%E -0.396%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.23%E -3.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:15
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.81%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 22:08
theScore Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.17%E -0.797%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 22:14
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.17%E -0.797%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.23%E -3.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 22:14
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 22:14
BetOnline.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 22:14
LowVig.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 22:15
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:14
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:14
SportsBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 22:14
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.97%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:15
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:14
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:15
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.76%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.76%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:15
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.48%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 22:14
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.48%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:14
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 22:04
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:04
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:04
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 22:04
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 22:14
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -11.00%E -7.91%K -28.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 22:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 22:15
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-05-09 22:14
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Novig2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93%1.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-05-09 22:14

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (18)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-05-09 22:15
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%5.6%2026-05-09 22:14
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 27.31%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-05-09 22:14
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%6.8%2026-05-09 22:14
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%8.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-05-09 22:14
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%12.4%2026-05-09 22:15