L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 22:20 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Flyers 2–3 Carolina Hurricanes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 35.97%2.78cote équitable
EV -0.010%
Avantage -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.59%35.97%35.97%37.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.642.662.7841.67%37.92%37.59%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.03%1.56cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.19%64.03%64.03%65.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.501.501.5371.94%66.89%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

18 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 22:13
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.09%E -0.396%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.23%E -3.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 22:15
Bovada2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.81%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 22:08
theScore Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.17%E -0.797%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 22:14
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.17%E -0.797%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.23%E -3.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 22:14
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-09 22:14
BetOnline.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 22:14
LowVig.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.53%E -0.933%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 22:15
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:14
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:14
SportsBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.87%E -4.00%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 22:14
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.97%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:15
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 22:14
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 22:15
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.76%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.76%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 22:15
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.48%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 22:14
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.48%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 22:14
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 22:04
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:04
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 22:04
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 22:14
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 22:04
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 22:14
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -11.00%E -7.91%K -28.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 22:15
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-09 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%1.2%2026-05-09 22:14
ProphetX2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Novig2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93%1.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-05-09 22:14
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-05-09 22:14

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (18)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-05-09 22:15
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-05-09 22:15
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%5.6%2026-05-09 22:14
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-05-09 22:14
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 27.31%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-05-09 22:14
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%6.8%2026-05-09 22:14
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%8.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-05-09 22:14
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%12.4%2026-05-09 22:15