Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 59.43%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 40.57%. For Carolina Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.606%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.42%E -0.583%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 18:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.04%E -8.14%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.97%E -5.51%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-13 22:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.58% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 23:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48% | 12.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |