L’École des cotesFrançais
Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prévision 59.43%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%59.46%59.45%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.611.611.6567.57%62.20%62.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.57%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.606%
Avantage -0.247%
Kelly -0.418%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.54%40.55%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.352.352.4546.08%42.52%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.42%E -0.583%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:29 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 18:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 22:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:50 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:01 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.04%E -8.14%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.97%E -5.51%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-13 22:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.58% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 22:00 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 23:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48% | 12.6% | 2026-04-13 21:35 |