La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes

Inizio: 2026-04-13 23:10 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Flyers 3–2 Carolina Hurricanes

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 59.43%1.68quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%59.46%59.45%61.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.611.611.6567.57%62.20%62.11%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carolina Hurricanes (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.57%2.46quota equa
EV -0.606%
Vantaggio -0.247%
Kelly -0.418%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.90%40.54%40.55%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.352.352.4546.08%42.52%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 23:05
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.42%E -0.583%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-13 23:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:00
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 22:49
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 21:39
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 22:34
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 22:05
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 18:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:39
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:29
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 23:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 19:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 22:39
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 18:29
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 23:04
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 22:54
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 20:50
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 23:01
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 18:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:39
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 23:05
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 23:00
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 21:59
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 20:09
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 22:40
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 22:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 21:35
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 21:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 21:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.606%E -0.247%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 21:34
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.04%E -8.14%K -25.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.97%E -5.51%K -10.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 22:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-13 23:05
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-13 23:05
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-13 23:05
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-04-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-04-13 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-04-13 23:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-13 23:05
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-04-13 23:05
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%10.0%2026-04-13 22:59

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-13 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-13 21:40
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-13 21:40
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-13 21:40
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-04-13 21:35
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-13 22:59
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.58%4.6%2026-04-13 22:59
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-13 21:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-13 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-13 21:40
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-13 21:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-04-13 21:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-13 22:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-04-13 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%7.4%2026-04-13 23:01
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%7.7%2026-04-13 22:49
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-13 21:35
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-04-13 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-04-13 23:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-04-13 19:14
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%12.6%2026-04-13 21:35