A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Ottawa Senators v Tampa Bay Lightning
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Previsão 56.02%1.79odd justa
EV -0.846%
Vantagem -0.478%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%55.90%56.04%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.711.721.7763.69%58.35%58.14%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)
Previsão 43.98%2.27odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.862%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.10%43.96%46.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.162.2350.00%46.35%46.30%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.
Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.846%E -0.478%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.92%E -0.862%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ReBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:57 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.05%E -7.67%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (9)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | -0.0% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)
Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.
| Casa de apostas | Opção 1 | Opção 2 | Opção 3 | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.00% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 22:57 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |