Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Ottawa Senators v Tampa Bay Lightning
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Ottawa Senators (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 56.02%1.79kurs godziwy
EV -0.846%
Przewaga -0.478%
Kelly -1.10%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.77
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.95%55.90%56.04%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.711.721.7763.69%58.35%58.14%56.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Goście)
Prognoza 43.98%2.27kurs godziwy
EV -1.92%
Przewaga -0.862%
Kelly -1.56%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.86%44.10%43.96%46.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.162.162.2350.00%46.35%46.30%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.846%E -0.478%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.92%E -0.862%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ReBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:57 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.05%E -7.67%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | -0.0% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.00% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 22:57 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |