Langue:Français
Ottawa Senators v Tampa Bay Lightning
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prévision 56.02%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.846%
Avantage -0.478%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.90%56.04%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.721.7763.69%58.35%58.14%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.98%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.10%43.96%46.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.162.2350.00%46.35%46.30%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ottawa Senators (Local) : 56.02% ; Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur) : 43.98%. Pour Ottawa Senators (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.79. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.77, pour une espérance de -0.846% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.846%E -0.478%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.84%E -4.80%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.92%E -0.862%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.00%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.09%E -1.78%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:57 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.80%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.50%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.05%E -7.67%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.04%E -6.02%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | -0.0% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.97% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.64% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.00% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 22:57 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |