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Ottawa Senators v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prediction 47.72%2.10fair odd
EV +0.220%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.51%47.78%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.69%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 52.28%1.91fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.71%52.49%52.22%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.811.811.8860.61%55.25%55.10%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Senators (Local): 47.72%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 52.28%. For Ottawa Senators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.095. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.220%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.220%E +0.105%K +0.200%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.220%E +0.105%K +0.200%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.734%E -0.353%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.99%E -4.54%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 20:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.64%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 20:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.72%E -0.916%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:43 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.03%E -2.53%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.03%E -2.53%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.98%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.81%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 21:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.28%E -5.47%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -13.74%E -8.33%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.53% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.46% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.79% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 21:02 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |