L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.10
avec la cote maximale 1.88
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.220%E +0.105%K +0.200%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.220%E +0.105%K +0.200%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.734%E -0.353%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.99%E -4.54%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 20:58 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| ReBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.64%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 20:58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.72%E -0.916%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:43 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Betsson | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.03%E -2.53%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.03%E -2.53%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.98%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.81%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 21:03 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.28%E -5.47%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -13.74%E -8.33%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.53% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:59 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.46% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 12:24 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.79% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 21:02 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32% | 14.4% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |