默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ottawa Senators v Carolina Hurricanes

开赛时间： 2026-04-05 21:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

48%

52%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ottawa Senators (主队)

预测 47.72%2.10公平赔率

EV +0.220%

优势 +0.105%

Kelly +0.200%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

45.74%47.51%47.78%48.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.69%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Carolina Hurricanes (客队)

预测 52.28%1.91公平赔率

EV -1.72%

优势 -0.916%

Kelly -1.96%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布

51.71%52.49%52.22%54.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.651.811.811.8860.61%55.25%55.10%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ottawa Senators (主队)：47.72%；Carolina Hurricanes (客队)：52.28%。对于“Ottawa Senators (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.095。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.100，对应+0.220%的正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
betPARX🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.220%E +0.105%K +0.200%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.70%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-05 14:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.220%E +0.105%K +0.200%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.47%E -4.22%K -9.70%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-05 14:54
BetRivers🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.734%E -0.353%K -0.680%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.99%E -4.54%K -10.52%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-05 20:58
Bet Right🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-05 20:55
Coral🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-05 20:40
BetMGM🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-05 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-05 20:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-05 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-05 21:00
ReBet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.64%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-05 20:58
Pinnacle🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.72%E -0.916%K -1.96%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-04-05 21:05
FanDuel🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-05 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.91%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-05 20:40
Neds🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.91%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-05 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-04-05 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-04-05 21:00
SportsBet🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.07%E -2.03%K -4.03%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 21:04
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:44
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:45
Caesars🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:43
GTbets🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:44
Bovada🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 21:04
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:45
BetAnything🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:45
BetUS🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:49
Everygame🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-05 20:44
PlayUp🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-05 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-05 20:55
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-04 21:04
Fliff🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-05 21:04
TAB🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-05 20:49
Betsson🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.03%E -2.53%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-05 20:55
NordicBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.03%E -2.53%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.86%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-05 20:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.98%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.81%E -2.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-05 21:03
Bet Victor🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-05 21:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.30%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.38%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-05 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.28%E -5.47%K -11.68%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -13.74%E -8.33%K -21.15%G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-04-05 20:44

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
ProphetX◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%	1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%	0.2%	2026-04-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	0.4%	2026-04-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	0.4%	2026-04-05 20:44
Matchbook◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	0.4%	2026-04-05 21:00
Polymarket◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	1.0%	2026-04-05 20:40
Novig◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	1.0%	2026-04-05 21:05
Smarkets◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%	1.7%	2026-04-05 21:05
Kalshi◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%	1.9%	2026-04-05 21:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%	3.4%	2026-04-05 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%	3.4%	2026-04-05 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%	3.4%	2026-04-05 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%	3.4%	2026-04-05 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.53%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.72%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%	4.5%	2026-04-05 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.81%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%	4.7%	2026-04-05 20:59
Casumo🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%	4.7%	2026-04-05 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%	4.7%	2026-04-05 20:45
Grosvenor🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%	4.7%	2026-04-05 20:45
Unibet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%	4.7%	2026-04-05 20:45
1xBet🎯	2.69I 37.17%NM 35.46%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.40%	4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13%	4.8%	2026-04-05 20:55
Coolbet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%	5.3%	2026-04-05 20:50
TABtouch🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%	6.3%	2026-04-05 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%	7.0%	2026-04-05 12:24
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%	7.3%	2026-04-05 21:04
LeoVegas🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.86%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%	7.5%	2026-04-05 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%	4.05I 24.69%NM 22.79%	8.4%	2026-04-05 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%	8.5%	2026-04-05 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%	8.9%	2026-04-05 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%	9.7%	2026-04-05 21:02
PMU (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%	2.08I 48.08%NM 42.69%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%	12.6%	2026-04-05 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%	14.4%	2026-04-05 21:05