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Ottawa Senators v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prediction 52.94%1.89fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.539%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.91%52.91%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8760.61%55.51%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 47.06%2.12fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.556%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.09%47.09%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.042.1053.48%49.39%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Senators (Local): 52.94%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 47.06%. For Ottawa Senators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.01%E -0.539%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.54%E -0.826%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.29%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.29%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.46%E -2.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.65%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.65%E -7.67%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | -0.0% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.02% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.61% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 23:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.61% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 23:36 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.00% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |