A Escola das Odds

Ottawa Senators v Carolina Hurricanes

Início: 2026-04-23 23:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Previsão 52.94%1.89odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.539%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%52.91%52.91%54.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.801.801.8760.61%55.51%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carolina Hurricanes (Visitante)

Previsão 47.06%2.12odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.556%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.74%47.09%47.09%48.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.022.042.1053.48%49.39%49.02%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.01%E -0.539%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:39
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.54%E -0.826%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.29%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.29%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 23:39
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 23:40
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.46%E -2.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 23:29
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:38
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.65%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:39
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:39
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:40
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:39
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:32
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:40
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:38
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:40
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:38
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.65%E -7.67%K -19.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-04-23 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-23 23:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 23:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 23:40
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-04-23 23:40

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:39
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.02%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-04-23 23:40
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.61%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91%4.7%2026-04-23 23:29
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%4.8%2026-04-23 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.2%2026-04-23 23:38
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%6.2%2026-04-23 23:39
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%6.4%2026-04-23 23:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%6.6%2026-04-23 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-23 23:40
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%7.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-04-23 23:39
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%8.3%2026-04-23 23:36
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-23 23:39
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.00%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%12.5%2026-04-23 23:40