L’École des cotes

Ottawa Senators v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 23:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Prévision 52.94%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.539%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.91%52.91%54.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.801.801.8760.61%55.51%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.06%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.556%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%47.09%47.09%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.022.042.1053.48%49.39%49.02%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.01%E -0.539%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:39
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.54%E -0.826%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.29%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.29%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 23:39
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 23:40
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.46%E -2.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 23:29
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.12%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:38
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.65%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:39
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:39
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:40
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:39
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.71%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:39
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:32
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:40
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:38
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.556%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:40
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:38
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.65%E -7.67%K -19.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-04-23 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-23 23:40
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-23 23:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-23 23:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-23 23:40
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-23 23:39
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%2.8%2026-04-23 23:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:39
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-04-23 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.02%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-04-23 23:40
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.61%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91%4.7%2026-04-23 23:29
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%4.8%2026-04-23 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.97%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%5.6%2026-04-23 23:39
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.2%2026-04-23 23:38
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%6.2%2026-04-23 23:39
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%6.4%2026-04-23 23:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%6.6%2026-04-23 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-23 23:40
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%7.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-04-23 23:39
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%8.3%2026-04-23 23:36
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-23 23:39
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.00%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%12.5%2026-04-23 23:40