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Ottawa Senators v Buffalo Sabres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prediction 51.71%1.93fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.93%51.68%51.70%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.841.851.9159.52%54.21%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visit)
Prediction 48.29%2.07fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.32%48.30%49.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.972.0054.64%50.90%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Senators (Local): 51.71%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 48.29%. For Ottawa Senators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.24%E -0.650%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.90%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 22:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.86%E -2.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -13.13%E -7.82%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.18% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.86% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45% | 12.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |