A Escola das Odds

Ottawa Senators v Buffalo Sabres

Início: 2026-04-02 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Previsão 51.71%1.93odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.650%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.93%51.68%51.70%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.841.851.9159.52%54.21%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Buffalo Sabres (Visitante)

Previsão 48.29%2.07odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -3.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.32%48.30%49.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.961.972.0054.64%50.90%50.76%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.24%E -0.650%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-02 23:05
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:04
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:04
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:04
ReBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.90%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 22:59
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 23:05
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 23:05
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:58
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:04
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 23:05
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.86%E -2.64%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 23:03
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 23:04
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -13.13%E -7.82%K -19.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-02 23:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-04-02 22:59
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-04-02 23:05
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-02 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-04-02 23:05
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-04-02 23:05
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.18%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-04-02 22:59
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%4.8%2026-04-02 22:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-02 23:04
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-04-02 23:04
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-04-02 23:05
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-04-02 23:05
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-02 23:05
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-04-02 23:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%7.8%2026-04-02 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-04-02 22:59
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%9.0%2026-04-02 23:01
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-04-02 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%9.9%2026-04-02 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.86%10.2%2026-04-02 23:05
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%12.8%2026-04-02 23:05