La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ottawa Senators v Buffalo Sabres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Predicción 51.71%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.650%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.93%51.68%51.70%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.841.851.9159.52%54.21%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Buffalo Sabres (Visitante)
Predicción 48.29%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.32%48.30%49.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.972.0054.64%50.90%50.76%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.24%E -0.650%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.31%E -1.77%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| ReBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.83%E -2.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.90%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.34%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 22:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.34%E -2.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.86%E -2.64%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.38%E -2.94%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.93%E -3.85%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.41%E -1.71%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -13.13%E -7.82%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Novig | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.42% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.18% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.86% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45% | 12.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |