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New York Islanders v Montréal Canadiens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Islanders (Local)
Prediction 53.21%1.88fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.21%53.10%53.25%54.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8460.61%55.60%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visit)
Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.83%46.90%46.75%47.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.032.022.1053.48%49.31%49.38%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 53.21%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 46.79%. For Montréal Canadiens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.10%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.94%E -2.96%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.73%E -0.824%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -5.01%E -2.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.70%E -2.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 21:47 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.55% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.05% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48% | 14.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |