L’École des cotesFrançais
New York Islanders v Montréal Canadiens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
New York Islanders (Local)
Prévision 53.21%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.21%53.10%53.25%54.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.801.801.8460.61%55.60%55.56%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.79%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.824%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.83%46.90%46.75%47.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.032.022.1053.48%49.31%49.38%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.10%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.94%E -2.96%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.73%E -0.824%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -5.01%E -2.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.70%E -2.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:58 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 21:47 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.55% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.05% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29% | 12.2% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48% | 14.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |