La scuola delle quote

New York Islanders v Montréal Canadiens

Inizio: 2026-04-12 22:10 UTC

Finale: New York Islanders 1–4 Montréal Canadiens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Islanders (Casa)

Previsione 53.21%1.88quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.21%53.10%53.25%54.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.801.801.8460.61%55.60%55.56%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.79%2.14quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.824%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.83%46.90%46.75%47.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.872.032.022.1053.48%49.31%49.38%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.10%E -1.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.94%E -2.96%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.73%E -0.824%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 22:05
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 22:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 21:50
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:00
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -5.01%E -2.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:00
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 21:59
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 21:29
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.70%E -2.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:59
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:50
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:49
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:59
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:49
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:49
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:50
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:59
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:49
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:04
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:00
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.54%E -2.22%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:58
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 22:05
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.76%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 22:05
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.29%E -2.97%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:00
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.36%E -3.61%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:58
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.21%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 21:47
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.21%E -7.40%K -18.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 21:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-04-12 22:05
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-04-12 22:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-12 22:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-12 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-12 22:05
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-04-12 21:59
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-04-12 22:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-12 22:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-12 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-12 21:50
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-12 21:50
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-04-12 21:50
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-04-12 21:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-04-12 21:59
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.55%4.8%2026-04-12 21:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-04-12 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-12 21:50
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-12 21:50
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-12 21:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-12 21:50
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-12 21:50
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-12 21:35
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%7.1%2026-04-12 21:50
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-12 21:59
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-04-12 22:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-04-12 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-04-12 22:00
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%9.4%2026-04-12 22:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.05%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%12.2%2026-04-12 21:49
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%14.1%2026-04-12 22:00