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New York Islanders v Calgary Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Islanders (Local)
Prediction 57.15%1.75fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.09%57.14%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7061.73%59.82%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Flames (Visit)
Prediction 42.85%2.33fair odd
EV +0.691%
Edge +0.294%
Kelly +0.512%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.91%42.86%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3546.51%44.61%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 57.15%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 42.85%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.691%.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.41%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.691%E +0.294%K +0.512%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.41%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.691%E +0.294%K +0.512%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.166%E -0.071%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.594%E -0.256%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.45%E -0.631%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 23:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.45%E -0.631%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 23:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 23:06 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 23:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 23:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 23:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:12 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.79% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 23:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 23:13 |