La scuola delle quote

New York Islanders v Calgary Flames

Inizio: 2026-03-14 23:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Islanders (Casa)

Previsione 57.15%1.75quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -4.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.84%57.09%57.14%59.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.671.671.7061.73%59.82%59.88%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Calgary Flames (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.85%2.33quota equa
EV +0.691%
Vantaggio +0.294%
Kelly +0.512%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.81%42.91%42.86%44.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.242.252.3546.51%44.61%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.41%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.691%E +0.294%K +0.512%G +0.004%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.41%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.691%E +0.294%K +0.512%G +0.004%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.166%E -0.071%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 23:14
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.594%E -0.256%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 23:15
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.45%E -0.631%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 23:07
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.45%E -0.631%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:14
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:08
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:08
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:14
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:06
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:13
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:14
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:08
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:15
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:15
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 23:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 23:14
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:03
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:14
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:14
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:11
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:12
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-14 23:14
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-14 23:15
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-03-14 23:14
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%3.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%7.7%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%7.7%2026-03-14 23:15
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%9.2%2026-03-14 23:15

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (19)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%6.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-14 23:15
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-03-14 23:15
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-03-14 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.79%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.6%2026-03-14 23:01
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-14 23:14
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%10.0%2026-03-14 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%10.5%2026-03-14 23:13