L’École des cotes

New York Islanders v Calgary Flames

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 23:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Islanders (Local)

Prévision 57.15%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -4.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%57.09%57.14%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.671.671.7061.73%59.82%59.88%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Calgary Flames (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.85%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.691%
Avantage +0.294%
Kelly +0.512%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%42.91%42.86%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.242.252.3546.51%44.61%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

19 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.41%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.691%E +0.294%K +0.512%G +0.004%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.41%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.691%E +0.294%K +0.512%G +0.004%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.166%E -0.071%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 23:14
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.594%E -0.256%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 23:15
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.45%E -0.631%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 23:07
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.45%E -0.631%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:14
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:08
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 23:08
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:14
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:06
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 23:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:13
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:14
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:08
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:15
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:15
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 23:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 23:14
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:03
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:14
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:14
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:11
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.55%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:12
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-14 23:14
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-14 23:15
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-03-14 23:14
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%3.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%7.7%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%7.7%2026-03-14 23:15
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%9.2%2026-03-14 23:15

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (19)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%6.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-14 23:15
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-03-14 23:15
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-03-14 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.79%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.6%2026-03-14 23:01
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-14 23:14
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%10.0%2026-03-14 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%10.5%2026-03-14 23:13