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New Jersey Devils v Pittsburgh Penguins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Jersey Devils (Local)
Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.931%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.83%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.911.911.9756.50%52.34%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)
Prediction 50.17%1.99fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.17%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.911.9557.14%52.68%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 49.83%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 50.17%. For New Jersey Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.931%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 20:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 21:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 04:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 04:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.80%E -6.67%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.20%E -6.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 0.0% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 20:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22% | 49.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22% | 49.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.50% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.67% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 22:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.71% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |