A Escola das Odds

New Jersey Devils v Pittsburgh Penguins

Início: 2026-04-09 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Previsão 49.83%2.01odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.931%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%49.83%50.00%51.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.771.911.911.9756.50%52.34%52.36%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante)

Previsão 50.17%1.99odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%50.17%50.00%51.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.901.911.9557.14%52.68%52.36%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.931%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 22:55
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 17:19
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 20:15
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:24
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 22:54
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 22:55
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:09
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 18:05
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 22:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 04:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 16:00
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 12:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 12:19
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 21:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 16:34
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 16:35
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 02:29
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 04:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:05
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:18
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 13:49
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:55
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:55
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 16:35
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 16:34
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.80%E -6.67%K -15.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.20%E -6.97%K -16.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%0.0%2026-04-09 22:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-09 20:50
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-09 23:05
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-04-09 23:05
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%2.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-04-09 23:05
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78%1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22%49.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78%1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22%49.5%2026-04-09 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:54
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-09 22:55
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.50%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%4.9%2026-04-09 19:34
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-09 23:04
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%6.4%2026-04-09 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-09 15:30
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%7.3%2026-04-09 23:05
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%7.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%7.8%2026-04-09 23:02
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-09 22:58
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%9.2%2026-04-09 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%9.7%2026-04-09 23:05
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%12.3%2026-04-09 22:54