L’École des cotes

New Jersey Devils v Pittsburgh Penguins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prévision 49.83%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.931%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%49.83%50.00%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.911.911.9756.50%52.34%52.36%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.17%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%50.17%50.00%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.901.911.9557.14%52.68%52.36%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.931%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 22:55
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 17:19
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 20:15
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 21:24
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 22:54
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 22:55
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:09
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 18:05
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-09 22:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 04:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 16:00
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 12:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 12:19
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 18:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 21:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 16:34
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 16:35
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 02:29
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 04:19
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 23:05
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:18
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 13:49
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:55
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:55
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 16:35
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 16:34
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.80%E -6.67%K -15.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.20%E -6.97%K -16.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%0.0%2026-04-09 22:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-09 20:50
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-09 23:05
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-04-09 23:05
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%2.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-04-09 23:05
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78%1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22%49.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78%1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22%49.5%2026-04-09 23:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:54
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-09 22:55
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.50%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%4.9%2026-04-09 19:34
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-09 23:04
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%5.5%2026-04-09 22:55
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%6.4%2026-04-09 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-09 15:30
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%7.3%2026-04-09 23:05
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%7.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%7.8%2026-04-09 23:02
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-09 22:58
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%9.2%2026-04-09 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%9.7%2026-04-09 23:05
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%12.3%2026-04-09 22:54