L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.97
avec la cote maximale 1.95
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.931%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.33%E -1.19%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 17:19 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.83%E -1.45%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 20:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 21:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:09 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| ReBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.67%E -1.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 04:04 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 16:34 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 02:29 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 04:19 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:18 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 13:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 16:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.65%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.80%E -6.67%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.20%E -6.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 0.0% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 20:50 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22% | 49.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 33.78% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 66.22% | 49.5% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.50% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.67% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 22:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72% | 9.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.71% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 22:54 |