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New Jersey Devils v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Jersey Devils (Local)
Prediction 61.63%1.62fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.63%61.58%64.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.551.5968.97%64.65%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 38.37%2.61fair odd
EV +3.59%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.076%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%38.37%38.42%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.502.7042.55%40.05%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 61.63%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 38.37%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.17%E -5.48%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.59%E +1.33%K +2.11%G +0.076% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.17%E -5.48%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.59%E +1.33%K +2.11%G +0.076% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.248%E -0.096%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-01 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.248%E -0.096%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-01 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.93%E -4.59%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.93%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.32%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.32%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 21:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.00%E -1.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.39%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.39%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.77%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.77%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 21:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.63%E -7.33%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-01 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 22:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.37% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.96% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.17% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.48% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.87% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81% | 11.8% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54% | 12.3% | 2026-10-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78% | 14.0% | 2026-10-01 22:58 |