Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Jersey Devils v Philadelphia Flyers

2026-10-01 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prediction 43.74%2.29fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.49%43.74%43.62%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.052.2351.55%47.81%48.78%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 33.61%2.98fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%33.61%33.67%34.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.652.9040.00%36.86%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.65%4.41fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%22.65%22.71%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.074.154.2525.97%24.60%24.10%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Jersey Devils (Local): 43.74%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 33.61%; Draw: 22.65%. For New Jersey Devils (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.23, with an expected value of -2.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%EV -2.47%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -2.53%E -0.873%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.04%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 20:28
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.60%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.39%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.98%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.77%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -3.72%E -0.875%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-16 11:34
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.34%E -5.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -10.93%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 11:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -10.34%E -5.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65%EV -10.93%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -11.65%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 20:25
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.62%EV -11.22%E -5.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.67%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -11.65%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-23 20:25
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.86%EV -15.15%E -7.81%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.04%EV -15.98%E -6.39%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.10%EV -12.78%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-23 20:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-07-18 04:20
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%4.3%2026-07-23 20:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-07-19 02:39
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%5.2%2026-08-03 13:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%5.2%2026-08-03 13:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-07-16 12:00