New Jersey Devils v Philadelphia Flyers

2026-10-01 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

4 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

46%

32%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prediction 45.98%2.18fair odd

EV -5.75%

Edge -2.81%

Kelly -5.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.40%45.98%45.98%46.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.861.971.982.0554%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 31.96%3.13fair odd

EV -5.73%

Edge -1.94%

Kelly -2.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.91%31.96%31.96%32.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.602.802.802.9538%36%36%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd

EV -5.10%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -1.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.64%22.07%22.07%22.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.854.104.204.3026%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet (UK)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 22:20
Betclic (FR)	2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -6.67%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 31.91%EV -6.69%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)	1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.97%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-16 01:49
Unibet (FR)	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -12.83%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-07-16 01:30
Winamax (FR)	1.86I 53.76%NM 45.49%EV -14.49%E -7.79%K -16.84%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 32.54%EV -16.92%E -6.51%K -10.57%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 21.97%EV -15.03%E -3.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%	18.2%	2026-07-16 01:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
DraftKings	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%	4.1%	2026-07-15 22:20
MyBookie.ag	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%	4.9%	2026-07-16 02:15
Caesars	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%	5.0%	2026-07-16 01:14
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%	5.3%	2026-07-16 01:55