Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New Jersey Devils v Philadelphia Flyers

Inizio: 2026-10-01 23:09 UTC

Finale: New Jersey Devils 3–2 Philadelphia Flyers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New Jersey Devils (Casa)

Previsione 61.63%1.62quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.61%61.63%61.58%64.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.551.551.5968.97%64.65%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.37%2.61quota equa
EV +3.59%
Vantaggio +1.33%
Kelly +2.11%
Crescita +0.076%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.56%38.37%38.42%39.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.502.502.7042.55%40.05%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New Jersey Devils (Casa): 61.63%; Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta): 38.37%. Per Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.61. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.59%.

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.17%E -5.48%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.59%E +1.33%K +2.11%G +0.076%4.2%2026-10-01 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.17%E -5.48%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.59%E +1.33%K +2.11%G +0.076%4.2%2026-10-01 23:05
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.248%E -0.096%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-01 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.248%E -0.096%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-01 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-01 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-01 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-01 22:45
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-01 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 21:39
Paddy Power🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 22:40
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.93%E -4.59%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.17%E -0.850%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 23:05
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.93%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-01 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.32%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.70%E -3.73%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.32%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 21:55
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 21:40
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 22:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 21:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.08%E -3.30%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.00%E -1.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 16:14
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.39%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 23:04
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.39%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.77%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.23%E -2.06%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.77%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.85%E -2.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 23:05
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 23:05
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 21:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 21:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.47%E -2.88%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.63%E -7.33%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-01 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-10-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-10-01 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-10-01 22:55
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-10-01 23:05
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-01 15:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-01 22:35
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-10-01 23:05
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-10-01 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%6.0%2026-10-01 22:30

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-10-01 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-10-01 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-10-01 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-10-01 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.96%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-10-01 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93%4.8%2026-10-01 23:05
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.48%4.9%2026-10-01 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-10-01 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.4%2026-10-01 23:05
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.4%2026-10-01 23:05
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.4%2026-10-01 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.4%2026-10-01 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-10-01 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-10-01 22:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%7.4%2026-10-01 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%8.7%2026-10-01 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-10-01 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-10-01 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.87%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%11.8%2026-10-01 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54%12.3%2026-10-01 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%14.0%2026-10-01 22:58