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New Jersey Devils v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Jersey Devils (Local)
Prediction 52.97%1.89fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.82%53.06%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.811.821.8560.61%55.18%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 47.03%2.13fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.18%46.94%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.012.002.0853.48%49.69%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 52.97%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 47.03%. For New Jersey Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.54%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:56 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.61%E -7.64%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.05%E -6.44%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77% | -0.1% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | -0.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.94% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 22:57 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.13% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |