A Escola das Odds

New Jersey Devils v Philadelphia Flyers

Início: 2026-04-07 23:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Previsão 52.97%1.89odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.82%53.06%53.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.811.821.8560.61%55.18%54.95%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante)

Previsão 47.03%2.13odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%47.18%46.94%48.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.012.002.0853.48%49.69%50.00%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.54%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 23:00
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 23:00
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 22:59
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:00
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 23:00
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:56
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:59
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:58
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 22:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 22:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.61%E -7.64%K -19.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.05%E -6.44%K -13.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%-0.1%2026-04-07 22:59
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-04-07 23:00

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%4.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.94%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-04-07 22:58
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-07 22:59
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-07 22:59
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-04-07 22:59
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-04-07 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-04-07 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%9.9%2026-04-07 22:57
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%12.0%2026-04-07 23:00