L’École des cotes

New Jersey Devils v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 23:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prévision 52.97%1.89cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%52.82%53.06%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.811.821.8560.61%55.18%54.95%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.03%2.13cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%47.18%46.94%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.012.002.0853.48%49.69%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.54%E -1.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 23:00
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.64%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 23:00
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 22:59
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.52%E -2.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:00
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.60%E -1.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 23:00
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:56
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:59
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:58
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.58%E -1.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.99%E -2.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 22:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 22:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.93%E -2.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 23:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.61%E -7.64%K -19.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.05%E -6.44%K -13.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%-0.1%2026-04-07 22:59
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-04-07 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%4.1%2026-04-07 23:00
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.94%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-04-07 22:58
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-07 22:59
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-07 23:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-07 22:59
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-04-07 22:59
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-04-07 23:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-04-07 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-04-07 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-04-07 23:00
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.45%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-04-07 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%9.9%2026-04-07 22:57
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%12.0%2026-04-07 23:00