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New Jersey Devils v Ottawa Senators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Jersey Devils (Local)
Prediction 52.90%1.89fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.89%53.08%54.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.811.8758.82%55.16%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Senators (Visit)
Prediction 47.10%2.12fair odd
EV +0.802%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.703%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.55%47.11%46.92%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.002.1454.64%49.72%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 52.90%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 47.10%. For Ottawa Senators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.802%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV +0.802%E +0.375%K +0.703%G +0.006% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.08%E -0.515%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 23:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.91%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.91%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.32%E -2.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -1.61%E -0.867%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.26%E -3.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -1.08%E -0.580%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.08%E -0.580%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.03%E -5.25%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -10.08%E -5.93%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -13.80%E -7.54%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.89% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.21% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.97% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.51% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.29% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.53% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |