L’École des cotesFrançais
New Jersey Devils v Ottawa Senators
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
New Jersey Devils (Local)
Prévision 52.90%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.580%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.89%53.08%54.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.811.8758.82%55.16%55.25%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.10%2.12cote équitable
EV +0.802%
Avantage +0.375%
Kelly +0.703%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.55%47.11%46.92%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.012.002.1454.64%49.72%50.00%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV +0.802%E +0.375%K +0.703%G +0.006% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.08%E -0.515%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 23:03 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.91%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.91%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.32%E -2.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:09 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -1.61%E -0.867%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.26%E -3.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -1.08%E -0.580%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.08%E -0.580%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.03%E -5.25%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -10.08%E -5.93%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -13.80%E -7.54%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 22:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.89% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.21% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.97% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.51% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.29% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.53% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 23:05 |