A Escola das Odds

New Jersey Devils v Ottawa Senators

Início: 2026-04-12 23:10 UTC

Final: New Jersey Devils 4–3 Ottawa Senators

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Previsão 52.90%1.89odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.580%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%52.89%53.08%54.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.811.811.8758.82%55.16%55.25%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ottawa Senators (Visitante)

Previsão 47.10%2.12odd justa
EV +0.802%
Vantagem +0.375%
Kelly +0.703%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.55%47.11%46.92%48.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.832.012.002.1454.64%49.72%50.00%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -5.32%E -2.97%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV +0.802%E +0.375%K +0.703%G +0.006%2.6%2026-04-12 23:05
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.37%E -3.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.08%E -0.515%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 23:05
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 23:04
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 23:03
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 23:00
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 23:04
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:59
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.91%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:59
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.84%E -3.28%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.91%E -1.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 23:05
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:15
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:15
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.85%E -2.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 21:15
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.32%E -2.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 23:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 21:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 21:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 21:10
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 23:05
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 23:04
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 23:04
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 23:04
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 23:05
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.79%E -2.90%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 23:05
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -1.61%E -0.867%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.26%E -3.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:59
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -1.08%E -0.580%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:49
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:49
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.73%E -2.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 23:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.79%E -2.66%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:10
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.08%E -0.580%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 21:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.15%E -4.18%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:48
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.20%E -1.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.03%E -5.25%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 23:04
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -10.08%E -5.93%K -14.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -13.80%E -7.54%K -16.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-12 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-12 23:05
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-04-12 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-12 23:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-12 23:05
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-12 23:05
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-04-12 23:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-04-12 23:05
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%8.7%2026-04-12 22:59

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-12 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-12 21:15
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-12 21:15
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-04-12 21:14
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-04-12 22:55
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-04-12 22:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-12 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%4.8%2026-04-12 23:04
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.5%2026-04-12 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.5%2026-04-12 22:40
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.5%2026-04-12 22:40
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%5.5%2026-04-12 22:39
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-04-12 21:15
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-12 21:19
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%7.5%2026-04-12 21:14
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%7.9%2026-04-12 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.21%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%8.1%2026-04-12 23:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-04-12 23:04
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.52%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%9.1%2026-04-12 22:49
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.51%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%9.7%2026-04-12 23:04
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.29%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%12.1%2026-04-12 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.53%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%14.8%2026-04-12 23:05