A Escola das Odds

Nashville Predators v Minnesota Wild

Início: 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nashville Predators (Local)

Previsão 49.53%2.02odd justa
EV -0.947%
Vantagem -0.473%
Kelly -0.947%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.45%49.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.941.952.0056.18%51.68%51.28%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Wild (Visitante)

Previsão 50.47%1.98odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.55%50.64%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.871.871.9357.80%53.39%53.48%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.947%E -0.473%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.15%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.94%E -0.978%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.59%E -1.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 21:05
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:57
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 21:05
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:04
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:04
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:58
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:03
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.92%E -2.02%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:58
Betsson1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:03
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 20:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-04-11 20:59
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-04-11 21:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.96%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.53%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-04-11 20:59
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-11 21:03
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%7.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%7.6%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%7.8%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-04-11 21:00
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-04-11 21:01
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-04-11 21:05
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%12.2%2026-04-11 21:05