La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.947%E -0.473%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.15%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.94%E -0.978%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.59%E -1.34%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 20:57 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.92%E -2.02%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Betsson | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Novig | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.96% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.53% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 21:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |