La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nashville Predators v Minnesota Wild
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nashville Predators (Local)
Predicción 49.53%2.02momio equitativo
EV -0.947%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.947%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.45%49.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.941.952.0056.18%51.68%51.28%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Wild (Visitante)
Predicción 50.47%1.98momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.55%50.64%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.871.871.9357.80%53.39%53.48%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.947%E -0.473%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.15%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.94%E -0.978%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.59%E -1.34%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 20:57 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.92%E -2.02%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Betsson | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Novig | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.96% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.53% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 21:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |