L’École des cotes

Nashville Predators v Minnesota Wild

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nashville Predators (Local)

Prévision 49.53%2.02cote équitable
EV -0.947%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -0.947%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%49.45%49.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.952.0056.18%51.68%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Wild (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.47%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.55%50.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.871.9357.80%53.39%53.48%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.947%E -0.473%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.15%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.94%E -0.978%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.59%E -1.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 21:05
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:57
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 21:05
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.61%E -2.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:04
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:04
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:58
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:03
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.92%E -2.02%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:58
Betsson1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.41%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:03
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.60%E -1.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.68%E -7.33%K -17.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 20:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-04-11 20:59
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-04-11 21:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.96%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.53%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-04-11 20:59
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-11 21:03
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%7.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%7.6%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%7.8%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-04-11 21:00
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-04-11 21:01
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-04-11 21:05
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%12.2%2026-04-11 21:05